Cyclocross

2019 Fantasy Cyclocross Worlds: Contest Winners, By the Numbers – Cyclocross Magazine

Each year, our fantasy cyclocross contests provide a chance for readers to show their ’cross knowledge and take a temperature of how the collective cyclocross community thinks championship races are going to play out. Our latest contest was the 2019 Worlds Fantasy Cyclocross.

This season, the Elite Women’s and Elite Men’s international fields each had their own unique contours. For the women, the international field had wins spread across a number of riders and heading into Worlds, there was a sense that the winner might be an unexpected one.

On the men’s side, the regular season was all about Mathieu van der Poel, with the Dutch wunderkind winning every race he entered in the three months (!) before the World Championships. However, Van der Poel had entered previous Worlds races as the odds-on favorite, only to come up short, so he had a several-year monkey to get off his back in Bogense.

Would the past be prologue? Was this a year for betting on the underdogs? We take a look at the numbers from our 2019 Fantasy Cyclocross Worlds contest and get to what most of you probably came here for—the winners.

File photo: Cyclocross Magazine readers clamoring to enter our Fantasy Worlds contest. 2019 Cyclocross World Championships, Bogense, Denmark. © B. Hazen / Cyclocross Magazine

Elite Women

This season, something like 13 different women won an international race in Belgium, the Netherlands or the World Cup series. Leading the way among those winners were Sanne Cant (7), Marianne Vos (7), Lucinda Brand (6) and Denise Betsema (5).

Not surprisingly, the top three women on that list led the way for readers’ picks to win the Elite Women’s race in Bogense. Out of 256 total entries, the breakdown was:

• Brand – 100 – 39%
• Vos – 78 – 30%
• Cant – 35 – 14%

The top pick who wasn’t one of those three? Katie Compton, whom 26 people picked to one-up her second-place finish in Valkenburg last year. In total, 42 percent of entries had Compton on the podium.

The most popular podium choice among contest entries turned out to be the one that actually happened. Thirty-three percent of all entries had a podium with Cant, Brand and Vos. However, only three people correctly picked the Cant – Brand – Vos finishing order, thanks mostly to so few people betting on Sanne Cant.

As we have learned the last three years, bet against Cant on the biggest stage at your own risk.

Only three entries perfectly picked the podium. 2019 Cyclocross World Championships, Bogense, Denmark. © B. Hazen / Cyclocross Magazine

At U.S. Nationals, the leaders after Lap 1 were a bit more definitive than at Worlds. With big groups in both the Elite Women’s and Elite Men’s races, the primes were close ones. For the Elite Women, Worst crossed the line first.

Annemarie Worst was the first across the line in Lap 1.

Perhaps the most impressive performance of the weekend—well, except for those pesky athletes who turned in world-class performances—was Iowa reader Doug, who went perfect for the Elite Women’s race. He picked all seven spots correctly, had Annemarie Worst as the first across the line after Lap 1 and was just one second off the winning time gap.

We will, of course, be contacting Doug for his lottery picks.

Elite Men

Given the dominance of Mathieu van der Poel this season, the Elite Men’s race provided an opportunity for enterprising readers to take a bit of a gamble.

Last season in Valkenburg, that gamble paid off. Van Aert finished ahead of Van der Poel in 4 of 25 races before Worlds in 2017/18, giving the Belgian—at least statistically speaking—a 12-percent chance of beating the Dutchman at Worlds. Knowing most other entrants would likely pick Van der Poel last year, picking Van Aert was a high risk – high reward proposition that paid off.

This season, Van Aert finished ahead of Van der Poel in 2 of 19 races, dropping his statistical odds to 10.5-percent. Not that much different than last year, but entering Worlds, Van der Poel had not not won a race since November 1. The Van Aert value bet was seemingly not as good in 2019.

And that is how readers responded.

Fully 85% of entries picked Van der Poel to win his second Elite World Championship. Those who did roll the dice went with Van Aert at a seven-percent clip and four percent of entries selected Aerts, even though Aerts topped Van Aert at Belgian Nationals a month ago.

Even though more entries picked Van Aert versus Aerts for the win, the MvdP – Aerts – WvA podium was the choice of nearly 50 percent of all entries. Thirty percent went with MvdP – WvA – Aerts, which was probably the most common international podium this season. Eighty-six percent of entries had a podium that included those three riders.

Eighty-six percent of entries had this group on the podium. Thirty percent picked the correct order., 2019 Cyclocross World Championships, Bogense, Denmark. © B. Hazen / Cyclocross Magazine

The Lap 1 prime in the Elite Men’s race was also a close one. Lars van der Haar took the prime by maybe a knob or two on his cyclocross tire while leading a large group of riders across the line.

Lars van der Haar just barely led across the line after Lap 1

Top Elite Men prognostication honors was a tie between Miles of Oregon and Niamh of Ireland, who each picked the top seven finishers correctly. All they were missing were the two primes. Maybe we will consult them for lottery advice as well.

The Winners

Thank you to our generous sponsors Easton, Feedback Sports, Dean Bikes, Merlin Bikes and Kenda Tires, our prize haul for this edition of Fantasy Worlds is impressive. Prizes go to the top nine finishers, with winners getting dibs in descending order of finish.

Our 2019 winner was Mr. Perfect—at least for the Elite Women—Iowa Doug. Doug nailed the Women’s choices to the tune of 145 points (290 was the max possible score) and then rode the Van der Poel win and Van Aert and Aerts podium to the top of the standings with a total of 215 points.

Kent of California came in a close second with a total of 210, thanks in large part to scoring an impressive 130 in the Elite Men’s race, and then picking Brand in second and nailing the Elite Women’s podium provided the extra points to take second.

Rounding out the Fantasy Cyclocross podium with 195 points was Garrison of New Hampshire, who was one of the three people to perfectly pick the Women’s podium.

We will be contacting winners soon. We had a tie for 7th through 11th place, so we went to the tiebreaker of closest to the combined time gap for the two Elite races.

By popular demand, you can check your results in the table below. Thank you to everyone who entered and thanks again to our contest sponsors.

Also, if you don’t already, consider giving our contest sponsors a follow on Instagram: EastonFeedback SportsKenda TiresDean BikesMerlin Bikes.

Featured image: Kirk Keeler

2019 Fantasy Cyclocross Worlds Results

Place Name Home Total (calc) Elite Women Score Elite Men Score
1 Doug Iowa 215 145 70
2 Kent Los Angeles 210 80 130
3 Garrison Manchester, NH 195 110 85
4 Miles Bend 190 55 135
J Cottam 190 75 115
Andrew Pittsfield 190 70 120
7 Nicolas Los Angeles 185 65 120
Josiah Salem 185 55 130
Forest JACKSON 185 60 125
Benjamin Mt Holly Springs 185 105 80
Kristian Seattle 185 75 110
12 Jacob Kansas City 180 75 105
John Boulder 180 65 115
John New York 180 75 105
15 Rick Tampa 175 65 110
Niamh Dublin, Ireland 175 40 135
Lindsey Marshall 175 110 65
Noah Des Moines 175 55 120
Richard Groveland 175 60 115
Patrick Rockville Centre, NY 175 70 105
21 Sam Los Angeles 170 90 80
JaAnn San Luis Obispo, CA 170 60 110
Zak Glenside 170 55 115
Derrick Fort Worth 170 45 125
25 Brian Waseca 165 50 115
Dave Clear Lake 165 85 80
Drew Louisville, KY 165 55 110
Joel Liefke 165 45 120
sean Charlotte 165 50 115
Michelle Noblesville 165 55 110
Chase Cincinnati 165 70 95
abby asheville 165 65 100
Curran Whitewater 165 60 105
Ian North Vancouver BC 165 60 105
Paul Erie 165 50 115
36 Marc Freeport ME 160 50 110
Ron Riverton 160 35 125
Matt New York 160 60 100
Jo Oslo 160 75 85
Jay Greensboro 160 60 100
Norm San Diego 160 50 110
Tydeman Woodland Hills 160 60 100
Ryan Halifax 160 55 105
Sara Cedar Rapids 160 50 110
Anthony Melbourne, Australia 160 55 105
46 John Vancouver, BC, Canada 155 45 110
Cody Boonville, IN 155 55 100
Brad Middleburgh 155 50 105
Scott Albany 155 45 110
Brian Raleigh 155 40 115
Steven WEST CHESTER 155 30 125
Justin Granville 155 55 100
Bobby Harrisburg 155 45 110
Tom Madison 155 45 110
James Niskayuna 155 45 110
Kevin DURHAM 155 45 110
Jimmy Colorado Springs 155 60 95
Andy Manchester 155 50 105
scott north vancouver 155 35 120
60 Maaasharu NEW YORK 150 70 80
Stephen Philadelphia 150 50 100
Mat Lawrenceville 150 75 75
Miriam Burlington, ON 150 35 115
Joe Capitola 150 50 100
Taylor oklahoma city 150 30 120
Stephen Toronto, Ontario, Canada 150 40 110
Dylan Berkeley 150 50 100
Sterling Seattle 150 100 50
69 Tim Marshall 145 70 75
Adriana Madison 145 65 80
Keir Plymouth 145 60 85
Tyler Richmond 145 40 105
Chris Gill 145 30 115
Gary Medford, MA 145 60 85
Luke Brewster 145 40 105
Clinton Brisbane 145 55 90
Michael Castroville, CA 145 40 105
Martin Ottawa 145 30 115
Davis Huntsville, AL 145 35 110
Anthony San Marcos, TX 145 65 80
Scott Bishop 145 40 105
Joshua Prosper 145 60 85
Mitchell Santa Cruz 145 45 100
Bella philadelphia 145 45 100
Marc-Antoine Rosemere 145 70 75
Jim Iowa city 145 35 110
87 Virginia Brights Grove (can have shipments received in USA 140 60 80
Allison Los Angeles 140 55 85
Geoff Cape Elizabeth, Maine 140 55 85
Brian Calais 140 65 75
Chris La Crosse, WI 140 50 90
Tanner Tulsa 140 50 90
Natasha Gatineau 140 50 90
Mark Worcester 140 30 110
Christopher Thunder Bay 140 25 115
96 Brad Scotts Valley 135 65 70
Michael Iowa City 135 55 80
John Mono 135 55 80
Mike Stow 135 50 85
Becky Monona, WI 135 50 85
Rob Park Ridge 135 60 75
Matt Bend 135 45 90
JC Seattle 135 25 110
Patrick Chicago 135 45 90
Bryan Pocatello 135 65 70
GREGORY Carolina Beach 135 25 110
TAFF ODESSA 135 35 100
Ryan Pittsburgh 135 40 95
Katy Portland 135 25 110
110 Mark Mount Tremper 130 40 90
Benjamin Arvada 130 50 80
Mark Dundas 130 50 80
Stephen Toronto 130 50 80
Chris Madison 130 40 90
Frederic Sherbrooke 130 55 75
luke Southampton, ma 130 55 75
JOSHUA NEW YORK 130 60 70
bill RICHFIELD 130 45 85
Jon Littleton, CO 130 55 75
Marc New York 130 65 65
121 Willem Philadelpia 125 40 85
Steven Fort Worth 125 50 75
mike reno 125 50 75
Stephen Columbus, Ohio 125 80 45
Ralph Boulder 125 45 80
Jason Austin 125 45 80
Gen osaka 125 45 80
Patrick Olathe 125 35 90
Daniel Portland, OR 125 50 75
Mat Lexington 125 50 75
Sean San Luis Obispo, CA 125 45 80
Frank Salem 125 65 60
Xavier Montreal, Qc, Canada 125 40 85
Barry Sewell 125 55 70
Theron Utica 125 50 75
James Peterborough 125 55 70
graham kensington 125 25 100
David Washington 125 55 70
139 Adam NEW YORK 120 50 70
Dave West Bend WI 120 45 75
Kyle Parker 120 30 90
Matt Boston, MA 120 45 75
Steve IOWA CITY 120 45 75
Amanda Millersville 120 45 75
Henry Madison 120 35 85
Elisabeth Philadelphia 120 40 80
Josh Columbia 120 45 75
Scott Wilmington, De 120 30 90
Fernando Dillon 120 55 65
Josh Prosper, TX 120 35 85
Karl Bend 120 45 75
Oliver Boulder 120 55 65
James Chico Ca 120 30 90
154 Nat Easton 115 40 75
David Stavanger 115 35 80
Matthew Fallston 115 50 65
Brendon Medford, MA 115 55 60
Greg S. Burlington 115 5 110
Holly Buffalo 115 45 70
Eric PORTLAND 115 50 65
Benjamin Fayetteville 115 35 80
Tony Cottingham 115 30 85
Ben Portland 115 45 70
John Wilmington, DE, USA 115 55 60
Doug Ottawa, Ontario 115 35 80
Dimitri belgium 115 45 70
Brian Alma 115 55 60
Ed Winston Salem 115 45 70
Eric Beaver, Utah 115 50 65
Adam Bothell 115 45 70
Adam Chapel Hill 115 45 70
Rob Wileville 115 45 70
Susan Folsom,ca. 115 55 60
Gary Trevose 115 30 85
175 Adam Reston 110 35 75
David New York 110 30 80
Mike Gainesville, VA 110 35 75
Gilbert Portland 110 30 80
Steve Shelbyville 110 50 60
Dave Muncie 110 30 80
Gavin Chicago 110 35 75
Spencer Rochester, NY 110 10 100
Brian Pitt Meadows 110 50 60
Jenn Barrie 110 45 65
Alexander Winnipeg 110 15 95
Hans Zeist 110 35 75
Daniel Cincinnati 110 45 65
Pettermann Budapest 110 30 80
Alec Durango, CO 110 10 100
Hunter Long Island City 110 30 80
Antony Hexham 110 45 65
j bronx 110 45 65
Pieter Bainbridge Island 110 50 60
Merlijn Arnhem, the Netherlands 110 40 70
195 KEITH MARION 105 35 70
Stephen New Castle 105 35 70
Keith Las Vegas 105 35 70
Rhys Tempe, AZ 105 25 80
Greg Greenback 105 65 40
Sean Woodinville 105 20 85
Royce Madison 105 20 85
John Denver 105 30 75
josh east longmeadow, ma 105 30 75
Colin Washington, DC 105 55 50
John Dublin, Ireland 105 40 65
206 Sean KILLINGWORTH 100 25 75
Derek INDIANAPOLIS 100 25 75
Robert Kilauea 100 30 70
Ken South Lake Tahoe, Ca 100 30 70
Paul Oakland 100 35 65
Robert St-Bruno 100 30 70
Jesse Westlake 100 30 70
Ryan Sinking Spring 100 25 75
Andrew Buffalo 100 25 75
Breard Caen 100 55 45
Eric Yuba City 100 45 55
217 Emma madison 95 30 65
Tony New York 95 45 50
Mick Penfield, NY USA 95 40 55
kris Baltimore 95 15 80
Nate Zeeland 95 20 75
Rodrigo Loveland 95 25 70
Jim Wayzata 95 20 75
Eric Salt Lake City 95 30 65
225 Matthew Buffalo 90 65 25
matthew boiling springs 90 35 55
Peyton Calgary 90 25 65
Mark Highwood 90 20 70
Robert MATTOON 90 15 75
Keith Ballater 90 25 65
231 Bryon Waukesha 85 40 45
Dave Greensboro 85 45 40
Derrick Gatineau 85 50 35
234 Bill Lititz 80 30 50
CHRISTOPHER Rochester 80 20 60
Robert Richardson 80 45 35
Jared New York 80 40 40
238 Jackson portland 75 0 75
PETER denver 75 50 25
240 Steven West Sacramento 70 40 30
Sean Champlin 70 15 55
242 Greg W. Newfield 65 15 50
Ronald McGregor 65 55 10
244 Frank Toronto 60 25 35
245 Dave Urbandale 55 50 5
246 Kyle Albuquerque 50 50 0
Alex Oakmont 50 20 30
Brandt Takoma Park, MD 50 50 0
249 Robert Kearneysville 45 5 40
250 Greg Pleasanton 40 10 30
251 Mike Windsor 35 30 5
252 Dion Brampton 25 0 25
253 Sayrd Winston-Salem 15 0 15
Bonnie Lakeville 15 10 5
255 Jake Kansas city 10 10 0
Brandon Grand rapids 10 5 5